Credit Rating Agencies, Credit Scoring, and Credit Information Companies - Explained | MODULE D: FINANCIAL PRODUCTS AND SERVICES

Credit Rating Agencies and Their Functions


Credit Rating Agencies, Credit Scoring, and Credit Information Companies - Explained | MODULE D: FINANCIAL PRODUCTS AND SERVICES

Credit Rating refers to an evaluation made by a credit rating agency regarding the creditworthiness of an entity (such as a corporation or government) or a financial instrument (such as a bond). It reflects the probability of timely repayment of debt obligations.

What is Credit Rating?

Credit rating is a symbolic representation of an entity's ability to repay its debts, based on historical and projected data, financial health, and market conditions. Ratings help investors make informed decisions about risk.

Credit Rating Agencies (CRAs)

Credit Rating Agencies are independent organizations that assess and assign ratings to entities and their financial instruments. Notable CRAs include:

  • Standard & Poor's (S&P)
  • Moody's Investors Service
  • Fitch Ratings
  • CRISIL (India)
  • ICRA (India)
  • CARE Ratings (India)

History of Credit Rating

The concept of credit rating began in the 19th century. Henry Varnum Poor published financial statistics about railroads in the USA, which evolved into formal rating agencies in the early 20th century.

Characteristics of Credit Rating

  • Independent and objective
  • Based on extensive research and analysis
  • Subject to periodic review
  • Not a recommendation to buy or sell securities

Importance of Credit Rating

Credit ratings build investor confidence, help companies raise funds easily, and promote transparency in the financial system.

Benefits of Credit Rating

  • Lower cost of borrowing
  • Better marketability of instruments
  • Benchmark for investment decision-making
  • Reputation enhancement

Factors Considered While Rating Companies/Instruments

  • Financial Statements and Ratios (e.g., debt-equity ratio)
  • Industry Characteristics
  • Management Quality
  • Past Performance and Track Record
  • Macroeconomic Environment

Mathematical Example:

Altman's Z-Score Formula (commonly used for predicting bankruptcy risk):

Z = 1.2X₁ + 1.4X₂ + 3.3X₃ + 0.6X₄ + 1.0X₅

Where:

X₁ = Working Capital / Total Assets

X₂ = Retained Earnings / Total Assets

X₃ = Earnings Before Interest and Tax / Total Assets

X₄ = Market Value of Equity / Total Liabilities

X₅ = Sales / Total Assets

Example Calculation:

  • Working Capital = ₹5,00,000; Total Assets = ₹20,00,000
  • Retained Earnings = ₹3,00,000; EBIT = ₹2,00,000
  • Market Value of Equity = ₹8,00,000; Total Liabilities = ₹10,00,000
  • Sales = ₹15,00,000

Now,

X₁ = 5,00,000 / 20,00,000 = 0.25

X₂ = 3,00,000 / 20,00,000 = 0.15

X₃ = 2,00,000 / 20,00,000 = 0.10

X₄ = 8,00,000 / 10,00,000 = 0.8

X₅ = 15,00,000 / 20,00,000 = 0.75

Thus,

Z = (1.2×0.25) + (1.4×0.15) + (3.3×0.10) + (0.6×0.8) + (1.0×0.75)

Z = 0.30 + 0.21 + 0.33 + 0.48 + 0.75

Z = 2.07

Interpretation: A Z-score below 1.8 indicates a high risk of bankruptcy, while a score above 3.0 is considered safe. A score of 2.07 suggests a moderate financial health.

Process of Credit Rating

  1. Request for rating
  2. Data Collection and Analysis
  3. Meeting with Management
  4. Rating Committee Review
  5. Assignment of Rating
  6. Publication and Monitoring

Credit Rating Symbols

Examples:

  • AAA: Highest Safety
  • AA: High Safety
  • A: Adequate Safety
  • BBB: Moderate Safety
  • BB and below: High Risk

Ratings Outlook

The outlook indicates the direction of a potential rating change and is usually classified as:

  • Positive
  • Stable
  • Negative

Regulations for CRAs in India

  • Regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI)
  • Mandatory registration with SEBI
  • Disclosure norms for methodology, fee structure

Fees for Credit Rating

Fees vary depending on the complexity, size, and tenure of the instrument. It includes initial rating fees and annual surveillance fees.

What is Credit Scoring?

Credit scoring is a numerical expression based on a level analysis of a person's credit files, representing the creditworthiness of an individual.

Credit Information Companies (CICs) in India

  • CIBIL (TransUnion CIBIL)
  • Equifax
  • Experian
  • CRIF High Mark

Membership to CICs

Banks, NBFCs, and financial institutions must become members of CICs and regularly submit customer credit data.

Regulatory Guidelines Governing CICs

  • Regulated by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
  • Guidelines on data security, customer consent, dispute resolution
  • Fair practices for reporting and updating data

Credit Scores

Credit Scores range between 300 to 900. A score above 750 is generally considered good for approving loans and credit cards.

Mathematical Example for Credit Score Calculation:

Assume the following factors and weights:

  • Payment History: 35%
  • Credit Utilization: 30%
  • Credit History Length: 15%
  • New Credit: 10%
  • Credit Mix: 10%

Suppose a person scores:

  • Payment History: 90/100
  • Credit Utilization: 80/100
  • Credit History Length: 70/100
  • New Credit: 85/100
  • Credit Mix: 75/100
Final Score = (0.35×90) + (0.30×80) + (0.15×70) + (0.10×85) + (0.10×75)

             = 31.5 + 24 + 10.5 + 8.5 + 7.5

             = 82

Scaling to a 300–900 range:

Score = 300 + (82/100 × 600)

      = 300 + 492

      = 792

Interpretation: A credit score of 792 is excellent.

Difference Between Credit Ratings and Credit Scores

Basis Credit Rating Credit Score
Entity Companies, Governments Individuals
Purpose Debt instrument evaluation Personal creditworthiness
Scale Letter Grades (AAA, BB, etc.) Numerical Scores (300-900)
Regulators SEBI RBI

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Chapter List: MODULE D: FINANCIAL PRODUCTS AND SERVICES

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